Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 4.915129 5.839248 6.865094 8.084849 9.491989 11.060600 12.937697
2025-08-03 3.570941 4.758572 6.210367 8.101346 10.483301 13.366801 17.102214
2025-08-10 2.628664 3.865902 5.506989 7.812194 10.930344 14.960352 20.513851
2025-08-17 2.007484 3.221892 4.951992 7.545101 11.269899 16.352447 23.719169
2025-08-24 1.635164 2.835443 4.655815 7.541068 11.902235 18.129474 27.539915
2025-08-31 1.361469 2.535472 4.420648 7.562761 12.532043 19.915805 31.485519
2025-09-07 1.128876 2.251344 4.154306 7.479302 12.962956 21.413785 35.098218
2025-09-14 0.902149 1.928748 3.766810 7.132415 12.916093 22.150702 37.585279
2025-09-21 0.766581 1.745497 3.586165 7.099473 13.358713 23.664954 41.367070
2025-09-28 0.654779 1.585135 3.419047 7.060804 13.773499 25.149192 45.189705
2025-10-05 0.614353 1.564369 3.510757 7.501829 15.062211 28.171795 51.735206
2025-10-12 0.557467 1.496041 3.497086 7.736920 15.994168 30.646776 57.518556
2025-10-19 0.516125 1.457734 3.543951 8.105150 17.225189 33.765651 64.677714
2025-10-26 0.448928 1.343560 3.413246 8.099247 17.745308 35.663583 69.847919
2025-11-02 0.371655 1.185767 3.160374 7.803586 17.664719 36.455901 73.097244
2025-11-09 0.308941 1.050605 2.935497 7.534822 17.602742 37.264577 76.412785
2025-11-16 0.270535 0.973787 2.836246 7.530209 18.078282 39.117702 81.764929
2025-11-23 0.238651 0.908161 2.753612 7.551697 18.607120 41.105214 87.486416
2025-11-30 0.206519 0.833162 2.633857 7.468292 18.896765 42.633695 92.413964
2025-12-07 0.169111 0.729730 2.419019 7.121841 18.563297 42.873691 94.833339
2025-12-14 0.148040 0.676449 2.333649 7.088938 18.936750 44.586258 100.267257
2025-12-21 0.129570 0.627058 2.250566 7.050319 19.290914 46.278289 105.753772
2025-12-28 0.126334 0.635632 2.342654 7.490767 20.824256 50.577097 116.800966